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CLIMATE CHANGE: Meteorological Services warn of heavy rainfall and extreme heat ahead

By Sabri Dibaco

The South Sudan Meteorological Services (SSMS) has forecast moderate rainfall of between 50 and 100 millimeters in parts of southeastern South Sudan between November 11 and 18, 2026, while warning of extreme heat stress across most parts of the country during the second half of the forecast period.

According to the weekly weather outlook released by the Meteorological Services, the expected rainfall will mainly affect southeastern parts of the Pibor Administrative Area, as well as parts of Kapoeta East, Budi, Ikotos and southern Torit counties in Eastern Equatoria State.

The agency said most other parts of the country are expected to receive light rainfall of less than 30 millimeters during the forecast period.

The outlook also indicates that average temperatures are expected to exceed 28 degrees Celsius across most parts of Eastern South Sudan, potentially increasing the risk of heat-related health complications.

The Meteorological Services warned that extreme heat stress is expected across most parts of South Sudan on November 14, 15, 16, 17 and 18.

It further forecasts light to moderate winds ranging between 2 and 6 meters per second across most parts of the country.

On rainfall patterns, the agency predicted wetter-than-usual conditions across most parts of Eastern Equatoria State, while drier-than-usual conditions are expected in much of Central Equatoria State and southern counties of Western Equatoria State.

The forecast follows relatively wet conditions recorded across much of South Sudan between October 31 and November 7, when several counties in the southern, western and eastern parts of the country received rainfall exceeding 50 millimeters.

Western Equatoria State, parts of Lakes State, Western Bahr el Ghazal, Unity, Upper Nile and Jonglei states, as well as southern parts of Juba County, recorded rainfall accumulations ranging between 50 and 100 millimeters.

The Meteorological Services advised communities to remain aware of changing weather conditions and take appropriate precautions against excessive heat, particularly during the five days when extreme heat stress is anticipated.

The weekly outlook is intended to support communities, farmers, humanitarian organisations and government institutions in preparing for weather-related risks and planning their activities.

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